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What's on the ballot: November 3, 2026 | The Receipts - Dataspheres AI

What's on the ballot: November 3, 2026 THE RECEIPTS What's on the ballot: November 3, 2026 October 25, 2026 Welcome to The Receipts. November 3, 2026 Novem...

What's on the ballot: November 3, 2026 THE RECEIPTS What's on the ballot: November 3, 2026 October 25, 2026 Welcome to The Receipts. November 3, 2026 November 3, 2026 Every House seat, 35 Senate seats, 36 governors and 145 ballot measures in 39 states are on the ballot. House 435 seats (Clerk); Senate 35 incl. FL and OH specials; 36 governors; Ballotpedia 145 measures in 39 states (Oct 20, 2026). Who holds power now Who holds power now — House: 218 Republicans, 214 Democrats, 1 independent, 2 vacancies — Senate: 53 Republicans to 47 (45 Democrats and 2 independents who caucus with them) — Republicans have held the House, the Senate and the presidency for two years House Clerk and Ballotpedia; Senate 53 R, 45 D, 2 I (Senate.gov). Trifecta since Jan 3/20, 2025. The Senate: 35 seats The Senate: 35 seats — 7 Toss-ups, 6 of them Republican-held — Democrats need a net gain of 4 seats for a majority — North Carolina rates Likely D, a flip if it holds Cook Political Report, Oct 20, 2026 (Toss-ups confirmed by Cook page summary, WaPo, The Hill); NC Likely D (Oct 6 move). Governors: 36 races Governors: 36 races — 3 Toss-ups: Georgia, Nevada, Wisconsin — Ohio moved to Lean D on October 23 — Alaska and Iowa lean toward a Democratic pickup Cook Political Report, Oct 23, 2026; Ohio move reported by WaPo and The Hill. The House: 435 seats The House: 435 seats — 218 seats make a majority — 17 seats are Toss-ups, 12 of them held by Republicans — Democrats are projected to gain 12 to 22 seats (Cook, October 23) Cook Political Report House ratings Oct 23, 2026, reported by two outlets (verify.json claim 6). On the ballot: 145 measures in 39 states On the ballot: 145 measures in 39 states — Abortion is on the ballot in Idaho, Missouri, Nevada and Virginia — Missouri votes on repealing the abortion-rights amendment it passed in 2024 — Voter ID and citizenship checks are on the ballot in California, Nevada and Alaska Ballotpedia Oct 20, 2026; Guttmacher; KFF; MultiState. Missouri 2024 amendment passed 51.6-48.4. 506 U.S. citizens 506 U.S. citizens held by immigration agents from January 2025 through September 2026, ProPublica counted. At least 70 were children. ProPublica, Oct 6, 2026; the government does not track citizen detentions, so this is a floor. Citizens held, and some deported Citizens held, and some deported — About a dozen U.S. citizens deported, most of them children (ProPublica) — A 2-year-old born in Baton Rouge, deported to Honduras with her mother, April 2025 — About 200 children a day in ICE custody, against about 25 a day before — 37 deaths in ICE custody in fiscal 2026, the most on record ProPublica/Investigative Post Oct 8, 2026; Axios Apr 28, 2025; children Jan 2025-Aug 2026 vs Biden last 16 months; Bloomberg Law Sep 30, 2026. The claim: 'violent crimes' The claim: 'violent crimes' — Kristi Noem said 70% of them 'have committed or have charges against them on violent crimes' — She said it on CBS's Face the Nation, January 18, 2026 — DHS press releases still say 'the worst of the worst' (latest October 22, 2026) CBS Face the Nation, Jan 18, 2026; DHS releases. The claim vs. the record The claim vs. the record Cato: 5% of book-ins Oct 1-Nov 15 2025; NYT: 7% of arrests Jan 20-Oct 15 2025; TRAC: 70.6% of 65,765 detained Jul 11 2026 had no criminal conviction. Where the operations went Where the operations went — Four city operations: Los Angeles, Chicago, Charlotte, Minneapolis — In Minneapolis, federal agents shot and killed two people in January 2026; no charges filed — Texas arrests leading to detention: 5,787 to 10,331, July to July research-ice-fraud.json A5; verify.json claim 14 (Good Jan 7, Pretti Jan 24, no charges). How ICE gets people's data How ICE gets people's data — IRS: ICE sent 1.28 million names and got back 47,289 taxpayer records; an appeals court upheld a block on September 8, 2026 — Medicaid: data on millions of people went to ICE, and ICE passed it to Palantir; a judge halted it in July 2026 — 99 million voter records taken in by ICE investigators — Face scans on the street with Clearview AI and the Mobile Fortify app; DHS's own privacy review says it can capture U.S. citizens research-data-privacy.json: IRS (Thomson Reuters Tax, AP, D.C. Cir. Sep 8 2026); Medicaid (NPR, Federal News Network, Courthouse News, filings Jul 17 2026); voter records (Democracy Forward FOIA); Mobile Fortify (DHS PIA, 404 Media); Clearview contract $9.225M. What ICE pays private companies for data tools What ICE pays private companies for data tools Palantir ImmigrationOS $29,898,236 sole-source (Apr 2025); Clearview $9.225M total (Sep 2025); Penlink up to $8.3M no-bid, no warrant; Zignal Labs $5.7M over 5 years. 404 Media, ID Tech Wire, Fortune. DHS's answer DHS's answer — DHS: operations are 'highly targeted' — DHS: claims that face scanning 'violates the Fourth Amendment or compromises privacy are false' — ICE: 60% of detainees have a 'criminal record', a count that includes pending charges — Palantir: the Med