TNF Week 9 Showdown: Jaguars at Ravens, three Captain lineups | Sports Analytics - Dataspheres AI

TNF Week 9 Showdown: Jaguars at Ravens, three Captain lineups SPORTS ANALYTICS · November 5, 2026 TNF Week 9 Showdown: Jaguars at Ravens, three Captain lin...

TNF Week 9 Showdown: Jaguars at Ravens, three Captain lineups SPORTS ANALYTICS · November 5, 2026 TNF Week 9 Showdown: Jaguars at Ravens, three Captain lineups DraftKings' $1.25 million Thursday Night Showdown DraftKings' $1.25 million Thursday Night Showdown $300,000 to first. $20 to enter, up to 73,529 entries One Captain at 1.5 times the points and 1.5 times the salary, plus five FLEX, under a $50,000 cap. Kickoff 8:15 PM ET on Prime Video. Leverage is what wins a Showdown Leverage is what wins a Showdown 73,529 entries the contest takes, and one player may enter 150 of them $300,000 to first: the winner is holding a roster the field is not 1.5x points for the Captain, at 1.5 times the salary: the Captain is where lineups separate Not published last Thursday's winning Showdown lineup. DraftKings publishes no winning score and no ownership for it, so this desk quotes neither The line: Jaguars by 10, total 39.5 The line: Jaguars by 10, total 39.5 — DraftKings Sportsbook: Jaguars -10, total 39.5. It opened the other way: Ravens -4.5, total 49.5 — M&T Bank Stadium is open air. At kickoff: about 68°F, wind 5 mph, a 17% chance of showers Jacksonville Jaguars: 5-2, implied about 24.75 points Baltimore Ravens: 4-4, implied about 14.75 points Baltimore is on its third quarterback Baltimore is on its third quarterback — Fagnano in his NFL debut on November 1: 10 of 21 for 91 yards, no touchdowns and 1 interception Lamar Jackson, Ravens QB: injured reserve after right thumb surgery Tyler Huntley, Ravens QB: out for the season with a toe injury Joe Fagnano, Ravens QB: undrafted rookie, his first NFL start, $8,400 FLEX The week that moved the line The week that moved the line November 1, 2026 Baltimore loses 36-10 and loses two quarterbacks in the same game November 3, 2026 the Ravens name an undrafted rookie their starter November 4, 2026 final injury reports; the Jaguars list their lead back questionable November 5, 2026 the line sits at Jaguars -10 after opening Ravens -4.5 November 5, 2026 inactives at 6:45 PM ET, 90 minutes before the 8:15 kickoff and the contest lock Points per game: scored and allowed Points per game: scored and allowed — Jacksonville allows 15.9 a game, the 2nd fewest in the NFL, and scores 28.0 — Baltimore scores 22.4 and allows 25.4, and gave up 35 and 36 in its last two games — The read: the points in this game are on the Jacksonville side What last Sunday said What last Sunday said 3 TD Trevor Lawrence at Indianapolis: 10 of 14 for 210 yards in a 42-7 win 159 yards Bhayshul Tuten in the same game: 104 rushing, 55 receiving, 2 touchdowns 8 targets Justice Hill against Buffalo, the most of any Raven 0 catches Zay Flowers against Buffalo, on 5 targets The board: salaries and status The board: salaries and status Points per $1,000 of salary Points per $1,000 of salary — The best price on the board is 1.95 points per $1,000, and it belongs to the most expensive player on it — The quarterback making his first start is off this chart: 1.9 points a game at $8,400, the worst price here Status check: Bhayshul Tuten Status check: Bhayshul Tuten — Questionable on the final injury report, and he missed all three practices this week — Jacksonville called him a game-time decision on November 4 — The call: tournaments only, and only after he is confirmed active at 6:45 PM ET Status check: Travon Walker Status check: Travon Walker — Walker is questionable with a rib injury and is not a draftable player in Showdown — He matters to one play on the board: the Jaguars defence at $5,800 — The call: the defence is still playable against a quarterback making his first start Captain: top, mid and high-risk picks Captain: top, mid and high-risk picks TOP: Trevor Lawrence, $15,900 Captain. 3 TD last week for the 10-point favourite MID: Bhayshul Tuten, $14,700 Captain. 159 yards and 2 TD last week, if he is active HIGH RISK: Zay Flowers, $15,600 Captain. 608 yards this season and a rookie throwing to him SAFE lineup ($48,300): Captain + 5 FLEX SAFE lineup ($48,300): Captain + 5 FLEX MID lineup ($49,900): Captain + 5 FLEX MID lineup ($49,900): Captain + 5 FLEX Why one lineup should look wrong Why one lineup should look wrong — 73,529 entries and $300,000 to first: a roster that matches the field cannot win it — Zay Flowers caught nothing on 5 targets last week, which is exactly why captaining him is different — The third build needs Baltimore to score, and almost nothing else on this board does HIGH RISK lineup ($48,400): Captain + 5 FLEX HIGH RISK lineup ($48,400): Captain + 5 FLEX The other side The other side — Henry ran 11 times for 53 yards last week: a 10-point underdog does not get many carries — Jacksonville gave up 63.8 rushing yards a game over its first five, then 100 or more in each of the last two — A 39.5 total is the lowest kind of number on the board: a quiet night beats every build here Before lock: 6:45 PM ET Before lock: 6:45 PM ET — Inactives land at 6:45 PM ET, 90 minutes before kickoff — If Tute